Thoughts

mental health break ,./'"**^^$_---
Manifold can be really interesting and engaging when there's a really interesting question. But there just aren't that many questions that
are interesting, at least to me. A lot of questions that hinge on chance, or depth knowledge in a field, or one person's decision. It's not that I can't generate a probabilistic estimate of the likelihood of these events, it's that my confidence in those estimates is so low that my estimate is completely uninteresting.
Link 3:24 p.m. Sep 09, 2025 UTC-4